Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Coyle 47.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 51.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Lowry
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Lowry
Coyle
Last 8: Lowry 7-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Coyle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
46.8% (201)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
41.3% (46)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
100.0% (1)
-52.2%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lowry is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Lowry shoots left. Coyle is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Lowry
Coyle
Home
52.9% (680)
46.3% (149)
Away
48.5% (615)
45.5% (99)
By Period
Lowry
Coyle
P1
51.5%
43.7%
P2
51.5%
46.3%
P3
49.3%
49.4%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |