Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Coyle 46.4% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 58.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Lowry
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Coyle
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Lowry
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
46.3% (603)
+12.3%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
50.9% (55)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
34.1% (44)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lowry is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Lowry shoots left. Coyle is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Lowry
Coyle
Home
61.0% (602)
45.6% (373)
Away
53.7% (514)
46.2% (329)
By Period
Lowry
Coyle
P1
57.3%
45.9%
P2
58.1%
46.4%
P3
57.4%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |