Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Dewar 45.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Lowry
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lowry
Dewar
Last 8: Lowry 4-4 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Dewar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Dewar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Dewar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
45.4% (443)
+7.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
75.0% (8)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
28.8% (52)
+11.2%
On power play, Dewar has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dewar
Home
52.4% (597)
43.3% (238)
Away
48.4% (583)
44.9% (265)
By Period
Lowry
Dewar
P1
48.5%
41.7%
P2
52.2%
46.1%
P3
50.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |