Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Dewar 45.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 71.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Lowry
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lowry
Dewar
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Dewar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Dewar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Dewar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
45.4% (1,008)
+7.4%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
60.9% (23)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
41.8% (194)
+3.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dewar
Home
53.5% (5,893)
43.4% (588)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
46.8% (637)
By Period
Lowry
Dewar
P1
51.5%
43.9%
P2
51.8%
47.1%
P3
51.4%
44.3%
OT
46.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |