Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.2%). Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Grant 52.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 50.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Lowry
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Lowry
Grant
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Grant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
5
Lowry
Grant
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
Grant
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
53.7% (2,864)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
61.7% (175)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
46.0% (922)
-1.1%
On power play, Grant has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Home / Away
Lowry
Grant
Home
53.5% (5,893)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Lowry
Grant
P1
51.5%
51.1%
P2
51.8%
51.5%
P3
51.4%
54.3%
OT
46.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Derek Grant |