Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Grant 54.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 67.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Lowry
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lowry
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Lowry
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
56.5% (308)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
65.3% (49)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
48.5% (136)
-8.5%
On power play, Grant has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Lowry
Grant
Home
52.4% (597)
60.3% (257)
Away
48.4% (583)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Lowry
Grant
P1
48.5%
54.7%
P2
52.2%
54.0%
P3
50.5%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Derek Grant |