Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Grant 48.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Lowry
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Grant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Lowry
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
49.1% (222)
+6.7%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
76.5% (17)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
45.3% (181)
-3.0%
On power play, Grant has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Lowry
Grant
Home
53.4% (515)
49.8% (223)
Away
52.6% (549)
47.2% (197)
By Period
Lowry
Grant
P1
54.2%
43.9%
P2
54.4%
49.7%
P3
50.8%
51.4%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |