Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.0%). Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Lowry wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Stepan 50.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 66.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Lowry
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Lowry
Stepan
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
5
Lowry
Stepan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
4
Lowry
Stepan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
2
Lowry
Stepan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
52.7% (207)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
50.0% (26)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (162)
29.6% (27)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Lowry is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Lowry shoots left. Stepan is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stepan
Home
50.3% (354)
46.0% (113)
Away
50.7% (361)
53.1% (147)
By Period
Lowry
Stepan
P1
48.5%
48.5%
P2
52.2%
49.4%
P3
50.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |