Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Stepan 53.4% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 67.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Lowry
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
55.3% (358)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
0.0% (3)
+52.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
50.8% (61)
-10.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stepan
Home
52.4% (597)
57.7% (213)
Away
48.4% (583)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Lowry
Stepan
P1
48.5%
56.3%
P2
52.2%
48.9%
P3
50.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%