Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Brassard 48.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 72.1%
Defensive zone
Brassard 58.7%
Neutral zone
Brassard 64.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Lowry
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lowry
Brassard
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Brassard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Brassard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
3
Lowry
Brassard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
48.7% (517)
+9.9%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
39.0% (59)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
66.7% (12)
-12.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Brassard is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Lowry
Brassard
Home
61.0% (602)
50.9% (348)
Away
53.7% (514)
44.2% (240)
By Period
Lowry
Brassard
P1
57.3%
48.0%
P2
58.1%
47.3%
P3
57.4%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |