Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Brassard 49.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 55.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Lowry
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
12
(31 meetings)
19
12
Lowry
Brassard
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
3
Lowry
Brassard
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
10
2
Lowry
Brassard
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Lowry
Brassard
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (8,914)
48.7% (8,464)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.0% (453)
52.3% (1,260)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (2,120)
50.3% (179)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Lowry is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,585).
Lowry shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Home / Away
Lowry
Brassard
Home
53.4% (5,759)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
49.6% (5,728)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Lowry
Brassard
P1
51.5%
49.0%
P2
51.7%
49.8%
P3
51.3%
48.4%
OT
47.8%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.5%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 11:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |