Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.0%). Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Brassard 50.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 69.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Lowry
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lowry
Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
3
Lowry
Brassard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
49.6% (230)
+3.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
53.8% (26)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
50.0% (30)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Lowry
Brassard
Home
52.4% (597)
51.7% (143)
Away
48.4% (583)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Lowry
Brassard
P1
48.5%
46.4%
P2
52.2%
50.6%
P3
50.5%
53.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |