Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Voronkov 43.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Lowry
Voronkov
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Voronkov
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Voronkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Voronkov
0
2
Lowry
Voronkov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Voronkov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Voronkov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Voronkov
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
42.0% (559)
+7.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
41.9% (93)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
60.0% (5)
-17.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Voronkov shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Voronkov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Lowry
Voronkov
Home
50.2% (671)
40.1% (332)
Away
47.8% (709)
44.3% (325)
By Period
Lowry
Voronkov
P1
48.4%
42.3%
P2
50.1%
43.6%
P3
47.8%
40.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |