Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Voronkov 42.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 54.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 82.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Lowry
Voronkov
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lowry
Voronkov
Last 8: Lowry 5-3 Voronkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Voronkov
0
3
Lowry
Voronkov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Voronkov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Voronkov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Voronkov
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
41.1% (644)
+11.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
42.5% (120)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
57.1% (7)
-12.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Voronkov shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Voronkov is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Lowry
Voronkov
Home
53.5% (5,893)
40.8% (387)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
42.2% (384)
By Period
Lowry
Voronkov
P1
51.5%
41.7%
P2
51.8%
41.7%
P3
51.4%
41.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |