Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 68.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Lowry
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Kuznetsov
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
Lowry
Kuznetsov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Kuznetsov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Kuznetsov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
47.7% (927)
+5.0%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
53.5% (71)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
39.4% (71)
+0.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kuznetsov
Home
52.4% (597)
45.9% (534)
Away
48.4% (583)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Lowry
Kuznetsov
P1
48.5%
44.8%
P2
52.2%
52.1%
P3
50.5%
44.5%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |