Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Kuznetsov 44.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 84.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Lowry
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
12
(29 meetings)
17
12
Lowry
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
5
Lowry
Kuznetsov
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
3
Lowry
Kuznetsov
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
4
Lowry
Kuznetsov
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
43.9% (8,296)
+8.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
49.4% (633)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
38.2% (272)
+6.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kuznetsov
Home
53.5% (5,893)
44.8% (4,622)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
43.4% (4,579)
By Period
Lowry
Kuznetsov
P1
51.5%
43.6%
P2
51.8%
45.8%
P3
51.4%
42.8%
OT
46.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |