Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Hughes 38.6% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 95.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 91.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Lowry
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Hughes
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
35.6% (362)
+20.6%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
38.5% (91)
+28.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
33.3% (9)
+10.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lowry is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Lowry shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hughes
Home
57.8% (341)
37.6% (255)
Away
49.4% (308)
34.3% (207)
By Period
Lowry
Hughes
P1
53.2%
28.5%
P2
54.4%
39.2%
P3
53.0%
40.8%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |