Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Hughes 38.0% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 88.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Lowry
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
34.5% (342)
+21.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
42.9% (7)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
25.0% (4)
+17.3%
On even strength, Lowry has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hughes
Home
53.4% (515)
32.6% (187)
Away
52.6% (549)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Lowry
Hughes
P1
54.2%
33.9%
P2
54.4%
34.2%
P3
50.8%
36.5%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |