Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Spezza 53.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 72.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Lowry
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lowry
Spezza
Last 9: Lowry 5-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
52.6% (346)
+3.6%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
61.0% (41)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
72.7% (11)
-29.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Lowry is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Lowry shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Lowry
Spezza
Home
57.8% (341)
56.0% (175)
Away
49.4% (308)
52.5% (223)
By Period
Lowry
Spezza
P1
53.2%
56.8%
P2
54.4%
54.3%
P3
53.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
58.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |