Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Skinner 43.5% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 81.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Lowry
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
1
Lowry
Skinner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Skinner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
37.5% (152)
+18.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
47.9% (71)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
0.0% (1)
+42.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Lowry
Skinner
Home
53.4% (515)
41.5% (130)
Away
52.6% (549)
39.4% (94)
By Period
Lowry
Skinner
P1
54.2%
32.9%
P2
54.4%
47.1%
P3
50.8%
40.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |