Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Skinner 45.5% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 70.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Lowry
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lowry
Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Skinner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
41.0% (105)
+8.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
50.0% (18)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
0.0% (1)
+42.6%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Skinner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Lowry
Skinner
Home
50.2% (671)
43.8% (64)
Away
47.8% (709)
40.0% (60)
By Period
Lowry
Skinner
P1
48.4%
38.6%
P2
50.1%
40.5%
P3
47.8%
47.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |