Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Danforth 49.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Danforth 51.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Lowry
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Lowry
Danforth
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Danforth
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
2
Lowry
Danforth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
2
Lowry
Danforth
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.8% (1,018)
+1.0%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.0% (36)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
40.1% (207)
+4.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Home / Away
Lowry
Danforth
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.4% (619)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.3% (642)
By Period
Lowry
Danforth
P1
51.5%
49.1%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
51.4%
48.3%
OT
46.3%
64.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |