Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Danforth 49.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 57.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 60.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lowry
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lowry
Danforth
Last 9: Lowry 4-5 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Danforth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
2
Lowry
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Danforth
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
50.5% (546)
+3.2%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.0% (14)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
43.6% (101)
-0.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Lowry
Danforth
Home
53.0% (583)
51.1% (315)
Away
50.6% (605)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Lowry
Danforth
P1
52.1%
49.5%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
52.3%
46.6%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |