Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.8%). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Danforth 52.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 57.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.5%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Lowry
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Lowry
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
54.3% (162)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
50.0% (10)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
51.9% (27)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Danforth has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Danforth is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Lowry
Danforth
Home
53.4% (515)
51.9% (81)
Away
52.6% (549)
55.1% (118)
By Period
Lowry
Danforth
P1
54.2%
49.2%
P2
54.4%
50.8%
P3
50.8%
62.9%
OT
37.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |