Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Eller 50.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 29-28 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 59.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 55.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Lowry
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
29
(57 meetings)
28
29
Lowry
Eller
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
10
7
Lowry
Eller
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
7
Lowry
Eller
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
12
15
Lowry
Eller
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.1% (10,296)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
52.8% (621)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
46.7% (1,751)
-1.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Lowry
Eller
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Lowry
Eller
P1
51.5%
51.2%
P2
51.8%
50.1%
P3
51.4%
50.2%
OT
46.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Lars Eller |