Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Eller 52.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 66.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Lowry
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Lowry
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Lowry
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Lowry
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Lowry
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
52.8% (742)
-3.5%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
67.6% (34)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
46.2% (156)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Lowry
Eller
Home
50.2% (671)
54.5% (448)
Away
47.8% (709)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Lowry
Eller
P1
48.4%
52.8%
P2
50.1%
50.9%
P3
47.8%
53.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |