Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Eller 51.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 61.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Lowry
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Lowry
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
52.8% (650)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
69.2% (13)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
45.5% (88)
-2.8%
On power play, Eller has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Lowry
Eller
Home
53.0% (583)
52.6% (340)
Away
50.6% (605)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Lowry
Eller
P1
52.1%
52.4%
P2
51.8%
54.1%
P3
52.3%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |