Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Eller 49.0% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 75.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Lowry
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lowry
Eller
Last 9: Lowry 7-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
49.9% (821)
+8.7%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
52.7% (74)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
43.9% (214)
+9.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Lowry
Eller
Home
61.0% (602)
49.4% (559)
Away
53.7% (514)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Lowry
Eller
P1
57.3%
50.1%
P2
58.1%
46.7%
P3
57.4%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
61.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |