Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Granlund 45.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 80.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 63.4%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Lowry
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Granlund
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
4
Lowry
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
46.8% (295)
+5.9%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
38.5% (26)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
36.5% (63)
+3.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Granlund is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Lowry
Granlund
Home
52.4% (597)
47.8% (178)
Away
48.4% (583)
41.7% (206)
By Period
Lowry
Granlund
P1
48.5%
44.7%
P2
52.2%
42.9%
P3
50.5%
45.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |