Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Granlund 48.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 28-20 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 81.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 58.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Lowry
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
28
(48 meetings)
20
28
Lowry
Granlund
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
6
15
Lowry
Granlund
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
5
Lowry
Granlund
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Lowry
Granlund
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.5% (6,718)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
52.7% (748)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
43.6% (635)
+1.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Home / Away
Lowry
Granlund
Home
53.5% (5,893)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Lowry
Granlund
P1
51.5%
48.7%
P2
51.8%
48.7%
P3
51.4%
48.2%
OT
46.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |