Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Geekie 44.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 79.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.0%
Neutral zone
Geekie 63.4%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Lowry
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Geekie
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Lowry
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Lowry
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
43.7% (584)
+5.6%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
47.1% (68)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
50.0% (8)
-7.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Lowry
Geekie
Home
50.2% (671)
45.3% (329)
Away
47.8% (709)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Lowry
Geekie
P1
48.4%
41.2%
P2
50.1%
45.0%
P3
47.8%
46.2%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |