Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Geekie 47.6% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 66.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.1%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Lowry
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
47.0% (117)
+8.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
47.1% (34)
+36.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
0.0% (3)
+40.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Lowry
Geekie
Home
54.5% (402)
45.3% (75)
Away
53.3% (368)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Lowry
Geekie
P1
52.4%
43.1%
P2
56.0%
48.1%
P3
54.2%
47.5%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |