Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Kadri 47.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Lowry
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lowry
Kadri
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Lowry
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
47.4% (821)
+8.0%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
48.8% (86)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
38.5% (13)
+1.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kadri
Home
54.5% (402)
46.6% (487)
Away
53.3% (368)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Lowry
Kadri
P1
52.4%
52.7%
P2
56.0%
50.2%
P3
54.2%
40.2%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 03:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |