Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Kadri 48.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 54-54 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Lowry
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
54
(108 meetings)
54
54
Lowry
Kadri
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
11
28
Lowry
Kadri
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
24
7
Lowry
Kadri
31 total
Neutral Zone
Even
19
19
Lowry
Kadri
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.2% (12,510)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
53.0% (1,892)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
41.0% (293)
+3.9%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kadri
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Lowry
Kadri
P1
51.5%
49.2%
P2
51.8%
48.8%
P3
51.4%
48.0%
OT
46.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 03:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |