Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Dowd 48.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 73.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lowry
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Lowry
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
49.2% (778)
+0.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
58.3% (12)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
44.0% (234)
-1.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dowd
Home
50.2% (671)
46.3% (492)
Away
47.8% (709)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Lowry
Dowd
P1
48.4%
49.1%
P2
50.1%
48.2%
P3
47.8%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |