Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.8%). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 70.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Lowry
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Lowry
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Lowry
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
55.2% (625)
-2.5%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
57.1% (7)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
38.2% (220)
+1.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Lowry
Dowd
Home
52.4% (597)
53.7% (445)
Away
48.4% (583)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Lowry
Dowd
P1
48.5%
48.8%
P2
52.2%
49.3%
P3
50.5%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |