Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 56.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 83.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Lowry
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Backstrom
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Lowry
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
47.0% (541)
+8.8%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
47.4% (95)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
15.4% (13)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backstrom
Home
53.4% (515)
48.5% (328)
Away
52.6% (549)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Lowry
Backstrom
P1
54.2%
44.8%
P2
54.4%
42.9%
P3
50.8%
50.9%
OT
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |