Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Backstrom 51.1% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 65.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Lowry
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
53.2% (77)
-3.9%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
50.0% (6)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
0.0% (1)
+42.6%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Lowry
Backstrom
Home
50.2% (671)
54.5% (55)
Away
47.8% (709)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Lowry
Backstrom
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
50.1%
52.9%
P3
47.8%
55.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%