Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Acciari 51.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 78.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 58.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Lowry
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lowry
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Lowry
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
53.0% (285)
+2.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
31.3% (16)
+52.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
50.8% (183)
-10.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Lowry
Acciari
Home
54.5% (402)
53.2% (267)
Away
53.3% (368)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Lowry
Acciari
P1
52.4%
53.1%
P2
56.0%
51.1%
P3
54.2%
50.6%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |