Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Acciari 53.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 69.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 54.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Lowry
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Lowry
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
56.7% (393)
-3.0%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
33.3% (3)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
48.0% (202)
-5.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Lowry
Acciari
Home
53.0% (583)
54.5% (279)
Away
50.6% (605)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Lowry
Acciari
P1
52.1%
56.9%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
52.3%
53.2%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |