Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Acciari 53.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Lowry
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Acciari
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Lowry
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
54.5% (532)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
62.5% (8)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
48.8% (86)
-8.8%
On power play, Acciari has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Lowry
Acciari
Home
52.4% (597)
56.2% (281)
Away
48.4% (583)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Lowry
Acciari
P1
48.5%
53.4%
P2
52.2%
57.1%
P3
50.5%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |