Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Acciari 49.7% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 54.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 63.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 62.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Lowry
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Acciari
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
3
Lowry
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
49.9% (337)
+8.7%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
75.0% (4)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
46.8% (62)
+7.0%
On power play, Acciari has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lowry is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Lowry shoots left. Acciari is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Lowry
Acciari
Home
61.0% (602)
49.1% (167)
Away
53.7% (514)
50.0% (236)
By Period
Lowry
Acciari
P1
57.3%
52.4%
P2
58.1%
51.1%
P3
57.4%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |