Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Lowry
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lowry
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Lowry
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Lowry
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
63.8% (1,102)
-8.0%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
65.3% (288)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
47.6% (210)
-5.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bergeron
Home
53.4% (515)
62.5% (882)
Away
52.6% (549)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Lowry
Bergeron
P1
54.2%
62.5%
P2
54.4%
62.7%
P3
50.8%
60.6%
OT
37.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |