Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 86.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 95.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 89.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Lowry
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Lowry
Bergeron
Last 10: Lowry 1-9 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
7
Lowry
Bergeron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Lowry
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Lowry
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
62.5% (1,109)
-9.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
62.2% (352)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
53.5% (245)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bergeron
Home
52.4% (597)
61.9% (917)
Away
48.4% (583)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Lowry
Bergeron
P1
48.5%
60.8%
P2
52.2%
60.3%
P3
50.5%
63.0%
OT
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |