Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 35-33 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 77.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 52.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Lowry
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
33
(68 meetings)
35
33
Lowry
Stastny
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
11
14
Lowry
Stastny
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
16
7
Lowry
Stastny
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
12
Lowry
Stastny
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
54.6% (10,616)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
59.1% (1,994)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stastny
Home
53.5% (5,893)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Lowry
Stastny
P1
51.5%
56.3%
P2
51.8%
55.4%
P3
51.4%
53.5%
OT
46.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |