Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Stastny 56.3% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 81.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Lowry
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
57.5% (412)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
60.0% (65)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
44.4% (9)
-4.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stastny
Home
52.4% (597)
58.3% (276)
Away
48.4% (583)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Lowry
Stastny
P1
48.5%
63.7%
P2
52.2%
57.3%
P3
50.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%