Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Stastny 55.4% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 71.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Lowry
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
59.2% (370)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
40.9% (44)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
51.7% (58)
-9.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stastny
Home
53.4% (515)
57.7% (215)
Away
52.6% (549)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Lowry
Stastny
P1
54.2%
57.7%
P2
54.4%
54.2%
P3
50.8%
57.7%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%