Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Stastny 55.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 68.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Lowry
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Stastny
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Lowry
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Lowry
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
56.5% (967)
-10.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
58.4% (125)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
50.8% (128)
-6.0%
On even strength, Stastny has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stastny
Home
49.9% (393)
56.8% (590)
Away
43.1% (452)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Lowry
Stastny
P1
45.1%
59.7%
P2
44.8%
54.8%
P3
49.1%
53.8%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |