Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lowry wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Stastny 54.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 73.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 62.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 54.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Lowry
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Lowry
Stastny
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
2
Lowry
Stastny
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
2
Lowry
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
54.8% (1,130)
+4.2%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
59.1% (235)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
49.3% (150)
-4.7%
On power play, Stastny has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Lowry shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stastny
Home
57.9% (330)
55.5% (803)
Away
54.0% (341)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Lowry
Stastny
P1
55.8%
57.4%
P2
55.8%
52.5%
P3
56.1%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
69.6%
Final 5 min
62.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |