Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Stastny 54.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 69.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Lowry
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Lowry
Stastny
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Lowry
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
0
Lowry
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
52.8% (657)
+5.8%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
61.0% (118)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
61.1% (72)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Lowry
Stastny
Home
61.0% (602)
53.0% (464)
Away
53.7% (514)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Lowry
Stastny
P1
57.3%
47.9%
P2
58.1%
59.6%
P3
57.4%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
61.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |